LaunchPoly Blog

Insights for Smarter Trading

Expert guides, market analysis, and trading strategies for Polymarket. Level up your prediction market game.

Kalshi API Guide 2026: Authentication, Endpoints & Python Examples
Guides

Kalshi API Guide 2026: Authentication, Endpoints & Python Examples

A developer's guide to the Kalshi v2 API — base URLs, RSA-PSS authentication, public market-data and portfolio endpoints, order placement, WebSocket, and working Python you can paste and run.

9 minJul 14, 2026
Who Will Win the 2026 World Cup? The Odds, Favorites & the Market’s Pick
Analysis

Who Will Win the 2026 World Cup? The Odds, Favorites & the Market’s Pick

Prediction markets make France the clear 2026 World Cup favorite at ~39%, on $4.2B of volume. The full favorites list, why the money beats the pundits, the long shots, and the road to the final.

7 minJul 10, 2026
World Cup 2026 Odds: What Polymarket’s $4.2B Market Says Before the Semifinals
Analysis

World Cup 2026 Odds: What Polymarket’s $4.2B Market Says Before the Semifinals

France is the runaway 2026 World Cup favorite at ~39% on Polymarket, with $4.2B wagered. Live odds, the tight chasing pack, the semifinal schedule, and how to follow the money.

6 minJul 10, 2026
Is Polymarket Legal in the US? The 2026 Legal Status, Explained
Guides

Is Polymarket Legal in the US? The 2026 Legal Status, Explained

Yes — as of 2026 Polymarket is legal for U.S. residents again through its CFTC-regulated QCEX product. Here’s what changed, how access works now, and the states where it’s still a gray area.

6 minJul 9, 2026
Best Prediction Market Platforms in 2026: Polymarket, Kalshi & 5 More Compared
Guides

Best Prediction Market Platforms in 2026: Polymarket, Kalshi & 5 More Compared

Kalshi and Polymarket run 97.5% of the prediction-market world. Here are the best prediction markets and Polymarket alternatives in 2026, compared on legality, fees, markets and tools.

7 minJul 9, 2026
World Cup 2026 Dark Horses: Where Polymarket Sees Value
Analysis

World Cup 2026 Dark Horses: Where Polymarket Sees Value

France and Argentina are efficiently priced. In single-elimination football the value is in the tail — live longshots like Morocco (which beat the Netherlands, $194.7M traded), Croatia and Senegal. How to trade dark horses on Polymarket without getting burned.

3 minJul 1, 2026
Polymarket vs Kalshi: 2026 World Cup Odds Compared
Analysis

Polymarket vs Kalshi: 2026 World Cup Odds Compared

Kalshi and Polymarket run essentially the same 2026 World Cup market — France ~29%, Argentina ~21% — but with different access, funding and liquidity. Here’s how they compare, and why the gap between them is a signal (and a soft edge) for traders.

3 minJul 1, 2026
How to Trade the World Cup on Polymarket: Live Markets & Hedging
Analysis

How to Trade the World Cup on Polymarket: Live Markets & Hedging

Outright winner is the obvious market — but the real edges in a World Cup are in live in-game pricing, thinner secondary markets, and hedging a position before the final. A practical, no-fluff guide for traders.

4 minJun 30, 2026
World Cup 2026 Knockout Rounds on Polymarket: Live Odds & Upsets
Analysis

World Cup 2026 Knockout Rounds on Polymarket: Live Odds & Upsets

The group stage is over and the bracket is already chaos — Germany out on penalties, Morocco past the Netherlands. Here's where the Polymarket winner market stands (France 27%, Argentina 20%, Spain 13.8%) and how sharp money is trading the knockouts.

4 minJun 30, 2026
Best Polymarket Copy Trading Bots in 2026 (Ranked)
Tools

Best Polymarket Copy Trading Bots in 2026 (Ranked)

Copy trading bots mirror the moves of proven Polymarket traders straight into your account. Here are the best ones in 2026 — and the brutal stats on what it really takes to profit.

8 minUpdated Jul 14, 2026
Can You Create Your Own Market on Polymarket? (2026)
Guides

Can You Create Your Own Market on Polymarket? (2026)

The short answer: not freely — but there is a real process for getting your market idea listed. Here is exactly how Polymarket markets get created in 2026 and how to submit your own.

6 minUpdated Jul 14, 2026
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